On Friday,
- European markets rallied to a five-month high after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled the possibility of a September rate cut. Traders now see nearly a 90% chance of easing, up from ~75% before his remarks. Separately, data showed Germany’s economy contracted more than initially estimated in Q2.
- The Stoxx 600 closed 0.4% higher, marking its third consecutive week of gains. It is trading above all its key moving averages. Next resistance is at its early March high (563.1; +0.3%). We recommend a selective approach to adding names on a high-volume breakout or decisive retake of their key resistance levels.
- Among significant movers on the Stoxx 600, shares of Polish lender PKO Bank (PKB.PL; PKO:PW) fell more than 12% after the country’s finance ministry proposed raising corporate income tax for the sector.
- Among sectors, Mining (+164bps) and Automobiles (+140bps) were the top gainers, while Utility (-17bps) and Food and Beverage (-13bps) lagged the most.
- Among major indices, France’s CAC 40 closed 0.4% higher. The index was consolidating after rallying in the previous week. Near-term support is at its 10-DMA, followed by its 21-DMA. Germany’s DAX 30 was up 0.2% and tested support at its flattish 10-DMA. Next support is at its 21-DMA. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 marked its fifth consecutive session of gains, closing 0.1% higher. The index is making new highs.
- Finland was upgraded to a Confirmed Uptrend from a Rally Attempt after the index reclaimed its previous rally high.
- Austria and Portugal recorded their second and third distribution day, respectively.
- All the 16 indices we track closed in the green, except Austria and Portugal. Twelve are in a Confirmed Uptrend, three in a Rally Attempt, and one in an Uptrend Under Pressure. The average distribution day count stands at 2.14.
- All the 28 European Focus List names are trading above their 200-DMA, while 23 ideas are trading above their 50-DMA.
Actionable names in the European Focus List are Abb (ABBN.CH; ABBN:SW), UCB (UCB.BE; UCB:BB), Talanx (TLXX.DE; TLX:GR), and Bawag (BWGP.AT; BG:AV).
